In this unit, students extend their understanding of probability, sample spaces, and events from their introduction in grade 7. The chance experiments under consideration have multiple parts, such as rolling a number cube and then flipping a coin—allowing events within the sample space to be considered in new ways.
The unit begins with students creating different models for understanding sample spaces and probability. The models include tables, trees, lists, and Venn diagrams. Venn diagrams allow students to visualize various subsets of the sample space, such as “A and B,” “A or B,” or “not A.” Tables help students determine the probability of those subsets occurring, and support students’ understanding of the Addition Rule, .
Conditional probability is discussed and applied using several games and connections to everyday situations. In particular, the Multiplication Rule is used to determine conditional probabilities. Conditional probability leads to a study of independence of events. Students describe independence using everyday language and use the equations and when events A and B are independent.
The unit closes with students making conjectures about the independence of events, when playing games with one another, and then testing those conjectures by collecting data and analyzing the results.
Using Probability to Determine Whether Events Are Independent
Let’s take a closer look at dependent and independent events.
Section A
Up to Chance
Section Goals
Use organized lists, tables, and tree diagrams to calculate probabilities for compound events.
Use the addition rule to calculate probabilities.
Section Narrative
In this section, students revisit probability of events. They are reminded of the connection between the probability of an event and the proportion of times a chance experiment results in that event after multiple trials. Then students look at compound events and explore ways to keep track of events in the sample space using lists, tables, trees, and Venn diagrams. Students can then draw connections between different combinations of events through the Addition Rule .
An optional lesson is included at the beginning of the section if students could benefit from additional reminders about probability.
Determine whether two events are independent or dependent using probability.
Use the multiplication rule, , to find the probability of an event.
Section Narrative
In this section, students look at pairs of events to determine whether they are dependent or independent events. After defining the terms, students do some classic statistics experiments and practice using their understanding of dependent events to explain why the results make sense. Then students encounter the multiplication rule and later use it to test for independence of events.
Let’s take a closer look at dependent and independent events.
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Section C
Let's Put It to Work
Section Narrative
In this final section, students have the opportunity to apply their thinking from throughout the unit. Because this is a short section followed by an End-of-Unit Assessment, there are no section goals or checkpoint questions.