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Elicit what students already know about solar cells. If students are unfamiliar with solar power and units of measurement for power, give a brief introduction. Solar cells turn energy from the Sun into electricity, a form of energy that is useful to humans. Power is the rate at which energy is transferred or converted per unit of time. Power is measured using units called Watts. Over the course of the past several decades, the cost of solar cells has decreased. That is, we can manufacture solar cells that generate the same amount of electricity for less money.
Read the opening sentence of the task, and display the graph for all to see. To help them process the information in the graph and think about functions, ask if the price per Watt is a function of time and if the time is a function of the price per Watt.
The cost, in dollars, to produce 1 Watt of solar power is a function of the number of years since 1977, .
From 1977 to 1987, the cost could be modeled by an exponential function, . Here is the graph of the function.
If students struggle with the function notation in the questions, ask them to recall what each part of what “f(t)” means, or remind them that the is the name of the function, and the is the input value.
Focus the discussion on how students selected points on the graph to calculate the growth factor. Strategically, it is important to choose values of time so that the price per watt , in dollars, is unambiguous (for example , and ). Because we are told that the price decreases exponentially, two values are enough to find the growth factor.
Give each student a sheet of paper. Ask them to fold it in half, and in half again, as many times as they can. (To save paper, you might have students do this in pairs.) Once they have folded it as many times as they can, ask a few students to share how many times they folded it, and estimate the thickness of the folded paper. Tell students that they are going to investigate the relationship between the number of folds and the thickness of the paper.
Provide access to graphing technology. It is ideal if each student has their own device. This activity requires students to be mindful about the scale or graphing window. The activities that specifically target that skill are optional, so this gives students a chance to practice scaling the axes.
If students have trouble organizing their data points, suggest that they use a table.
Focus the discussion on:
Demonstrate, using graphing technology, how to graph the equations, and invite students to share how they chose an appropriate graphing window. If students just typed an equation, most likely the tool plotted a continuous curve. This is an opportunity to talk about interpreting the continuous graph in this context: Really, only whole-number values for are meaningful. Time permitting, you might demonstrate how to graph only whole number values of , using your graphing technology of choice. Typically, this is done by using the technology to generate a table based on a rule. Here is an example:
Tell students that they will continue to work with interpreting exponential relationships. Display, for all to see, the Information Gap graphic that illustrates a framework for the routine.
Remind students of the structure of the Information Gap routine, and consider demonstrating the protocol if students are unfamiliar with it.
Arrange students in groups of 2. In each group, give a problem card to one student and a data card to the other student. After reviewing their work on the first problem, give students the cards for a second problem, and instruct them to switch roles.
Your teacher will give you either a problem card or a data card. Do not show or read your card to your partner.
If your teacher gives you the problem card:
If your teacher gives you the data card:
After students have completed their work, share the correct answers and ask students to discuss the process of solving the problems. Invite students to share different ways they estimated a growth factor for smartphone sales, such as those mentioned in the activity narrative.
The first of these methods is efficient and allows for quick calculations. It is not as accurate, however, as the other estimates and may lead to a less reliable prediction. In this case, it leads to an overestimate of phone sales because the actual growth factors are less than 2.
Consider showing a model and a graph generated using graphing technology. Based on this model, about 125 million of that brand of smartphones were sold in 2012.
Next, focus the whole-class discussion on the limitations of a real-world model. In this context, market saturation limits the growth of the cell phone sales. Discuss questions such as:
“According to your model, how many smartphones were sold worldwide in 2018?” (About 5 billion.)
“The world population in 2018 is about 7.6 billion. Is the number of smartphones sold based on your model realistic? Why or why not?” (No. Allowing for children, the elderly, and underdeveloped countries, 66% of the population buying one brand of smartphone is not realistic.)
“Could the sales of smartphones continue to grow exponentially? Why or why not?” (No. There is a finite number of people who will buy a particular brand of smartphone. The data should level off, with surges when new models come out.)