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Arrange students in groups of 2. Distribute 1 copy of the blackline master to each group.
Ask, “What do you think the phrase ‘within two standard deviations of the mean’ means?” (It means the interval from the value of the mean minus two times the standard deviation to the value of the mean plus two times the standard deviation.)
Select students with different strategies, such as those described in the Activity Narrative, to share later.
A publisher takes submissions for short stories to include in a book. 200 stories are submitted, and the publisher needs to be aware of how long each story is. The way the publisher will put together the collection of stories, a page typically contains 200 words. The mean number of words for each story is 2,600, and the standard deviation is 400 words.
If a histogram is created using intervals of 200 words, what would be the area of the bar representing the number of stories that contain between 2,000 and 2,200 words? Explain or show your reasoning.
What proportion of the total area is represented by the bar for stories that contain between 2,000 and 2,200 words? Explain or show your reasoning.
The goal of this discussion is to get students thinking about histograms as an area model for a distribution.
Invite previously selected groups to share how they computed the area. Sequence the discussion of the strategies in the order listed in the Activity Narrative. If possible, record and display the students’ work for all to see.
Connect the different responses to the learning goals by asking questions, such as:
If possible, display a histogram created by the students. If none of the students created a histogram, display the one here.
Here are some questions for discussion.
A company collects data from 10,000 websites about how long it takes to load the site. The number of seconds it takes to fully load the website is summarized in the relative frequency table.
| seconds to load |
relative frequency |
|---|---|
| 1.4–1.6 | 0.0003 |
| 1.6–1.8 | 0.0012 |
| 1.8–2.0 | 0.0053 |
| 2.0–2.2 | 0.0181 |
| 2.2–2.4 | 0.0442 |
| 2.4–2.6 | 0.0910 |
| 2.6–2.8 | 0.1555 |
| 2.8–3.0 | 0.1861 |
| 3.0–3.2 | 0.1938 |
| 3.2–3.4 | 0.1447 |
| 3.4–3.6 | 0.0923 |
| 3.6–3.8 | 0.0447 |
| 3.8–4.0 | 0.0166 |
| 4.0–4.2 | 0.0048 |
| 4.2–4.4 | 0.0012 |
| 4.4–4.6 | 0.0002 |
The relative frequency histogram summarizes the same data.
The mean time to load a website is 3 seconds, and the standard deviation is 0.4 second.
What proportion of websites loaded within 1 standard deviation of the mean?
What proportion of websites loaded within 2 standard deviations of the mean?
What proportion of websites loaded within 1 standard deviation of 2.8 seconds?
Invite students to share their comparisons.
Students may comment on the fact that the two activities had some questions that are very much alike, and their answers are very much alike. If no students mention this, point it out. For example, each task asked about the proportion of stories or websites that were within 1 standard deviation of a value that was half of a standard deviation below the mean (within 1 standard deviation of 2,400 words or within 1 standard deviation of 2.8 seconds), and they both had about 68% of the values in that region.
Display the images for the normal distributions that model each situation. Tell students that since both questions ask for the proportion of participants within one standard deviation of a value that is the same number of standard deviations from the mean, and we know that these distributions are approximately normal, we would expect the region in each image to include approximately the same proportion of values from the data set. That is what it means to say that a normal distribution is defined only by the mean value and the standard deviation.
Here are some questions for discussion:
If students don’t understand the phrase “within 1 standard deviation of the mean,” consider asking:
“What is 1 standard deviation in this scenario? What is the mean in this scenario?”
“Draw a number line that contains the mean value. Where on the number line are values that are 1 standard deviation from that mean?”