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Some students may record negative values for the absolute guessing errors of guesses that are lower than the actual number, not realizing that the term “absolute error” refers to “how far away” and, therefore, cannot be negative. Suggest that they revisit the examples in the Task Statement, and clarify the term as needed.
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In this activity, students create a scatter plot of the data they compiled earlier and examine the scatter plot. Unless the data they collected consist mostly of overestimates or mostly of underestimates, students are likely to notice the data points forming a V shape. They then consider whether the relationship between the guesses and absolute guessing errors form a function.
Though a blank coordinate plane is provided (in the blackline master) so that students could individually plot the values by hand, there are other alternatives to consider, if desired. For instance, students could:
If plotting the data by hand, give students a few minutes to plot at least 12 points from the data set (or more if possible) on the given coordinate plane and time to think about the last two questions. Be sure to leave time for a whole-class discussion.
Refer to the table you completed in the Warm-up, which shows your class' guesses and absolute guessing errors.
Display a scatter plot for all to see. Ask students to share something they notice and something they wonder. If no students commented on the shape of the data points, bring it up. Discuss questions such as:
Then, ask students to share their response to the last question and their reasoning. Highlight that the absolute guessing error is a function of the guess because there is only one possible absolute guessing error for each guess.
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This activity allows students to see how changing the target number in a guessing game changes the absolute guessing errors and changes the scatter plot of the data.
Here, students see that they are still finding the difference between the guesses and a number, that the absolute guessing errors are still all positive, and that the data points still seem to form a V above the horizontal axis. What is different is that the position of the V shape has now shifted horizontally and that the number of points forming the two pieces of the V may have changed.
The work here prepares students to later see the absolute value function in terms of finding the distance between input values and 0.
The activity is written so that students could perform the calculations and graphing individually and by hand. To make more time for reasoning and analysis, however, use of statistical and graphing technology for computation and plotting is recommended, as is splitting up the work among students.
Tell students that suppose there had been a mistake in the reported number of items in the jar, and that their job is to find out how the absolute guessing errors and the scatter plot would change once they find out the corrected number of items.
Consider giving one half of the class one value for the actual number of objects and giving the other half of the class another value so that they could observe the general behavior of the function. (For example, give “50” to half the class and “40” to the other half.)
Students could follow the same process as earlier: calculating the absolute errors using the new "actual" number, recording them in a table, and plotting the data points on a coordinate plane. If doing so by hand, ask students to use Table B and the second coordinate plane on the handout given earlier. Keep students in groups of 2–4 so they could split up the calculations. Provide access to calculators.
Alternatively, give students the option of using technology (statistical or graphing tool) to calculate the absolute errors and to create the scatter plot. Another option is to arrange for the calculations to be split up among students and collected in a shared table or spreadsheet, and then create a class scatter plot, either by hand or using technology, displayed for all to see.
Earlier, you guessed the number of objects in a container and then your teacher told you the actual number.
Suppose your teacher made a mistake about the number of objects in the jar and would like to correct it. The actual number of objects in the jar is
Invite students to share their observations of the new data set (or data sets, if two new "actual" numbers were given to students).
If time is limited, focus the discussion on the features of the new scatter plot and on whether the relationship between the guesses and the absolute guessing errors form a function.
Display a completed scatter plot for all to see. Ask questions such as:
Students may also note that there were more points (or fewer points, depending on the data) that represent underestimates (or overestimates) in the new scatter plot than in the first one.