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Some students may record negative values for the absolute guessing errors of guesses that are lower than the actual number, not realizing that the term “absolute error” refers to “how far away” and, therefore, cannot be negative. Suggest that they revisit the examples in the Task Statement, and clarify the term as needed.
Refer to the table you completed in the Warm-up, which shows your class' guesses and absolute guessing errors.
Display a scatter plot for all to see. Ask students to share something they notice and something they wonder. If no students commented on the shape of the data points, bring it up. Discuss questions such as:
Then, ask students to share their response to the last question and their reasoning. Highlight that the absolute guessing error is a function of the guess because there is only one possible absolute guessing error for each guess.
Earlier, you guessed the number of objects in a container and then your teacher told you the actual number.
Suppose your teacher made a mistake about the number of objects in the jar and would like to correct it. The actual number of objects in the jar is .
Invite students to share their observations of the new data set (or data sets, if two new "actual" numbers were given to students).
If time is limited, focus the discussion on the features of the new scatter plot and on whether the relationship between the guesses and the absolute guessing errors form a function.
Display a completed scatter plot for all to see. Ask questions such as:
Students may also note that there were more points (or fewer points, depending on the data) that represent underestimates (or overestimates) in the new scatter plot than in the first one.