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Lin, Kiran, and Diego are each going to shoot 100 free throws for practice. Based on their shooting in the past, Lin thinks they are all of similar ability, and Lin estimates that they each have a 60% chance of making each shot. They all shoot their shots.
From the results, do you agree with Lin’s estimate for the chance of each person making each shot? Explain your reasoning.
Flip your coin 20 times, and record the number of heads you get. Repeat this process as much as you can until your teacher pauses the class.
| trial number | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| number of heads |
The local news station wants to interview 8 students from a school. There are 25 students on the student council. Ten of the students are from the graduating class, and 15 are from the other classes. The principal has a difficult time deciding which students from the council to interview, so she tells the group of students that she will put all of the names in a bowl, mix the names, then the first 8 names who are selected from the bowl will get interviewed.
The next day, the principal returns with the names selected. It turns out that 5 of the students who get to be interviewed are in the graduating class and only 3 of the students selected are from other classes. The students who are not in the graduating class complain that this doesn’t seem fair. They suspect that the principal chose the group rather than selecting at random.
Simulate the drawing many times to find some possible results.
| drawing number | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| number of students in the graduating class |
Mathematics can often provide a model for a situation so that estimates and predictions can be made, but it is rare for the actual results to match predictions exactly. A single result that differs from the model slightly should not invalidate the model, but if many results are different from a model or if results tend to be drastically different, then the model may not do a good job of approximating the situation.
For example, imagine flipping a coin 100 times. Since the probability of a flipped coin landing heads up is
A good mathematician will often use data to suggest a model that can approximate a situation, then reevaluate the model by testing it against additional data. The model is then improved with the additional information to more closely mimic reality. This process may need to be revisited several times until its accuracy is satisfactory.
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