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Statistical technology is needed for every 2 students. Arrange students in groups of 2. Introduce the context of light bulb lifespan. Use Co-Craft Questions to familiarize students with the context and elicit possible mathematical questions.
Remind students that the phrase “area under the curve” means the area between the -axis and the curve. Demonstrate how to use statistical technology to display the normal curve from the previous activity (a normal curve with mean of 40 and standard deviation of 2) and to find the area under the curve for values less than 39.
The lifespan of light bulbs is approximately normally distributed. Some statistics about lifespans of two different types of light bulbs are listed.
To estimate the proportion of bulbs that burn out in a certain interval of time, use technology to find the area under the normal curve and above the appropriate interval.
Estimate the proportion of LED bulbs that are expected to burn out before getting within 1 standard deviation of the mean (before 2,070 days).
Estimate the proportion of incandescent bulbs that are expected to burn out before getting within 1 standard deviation of the mean (before 90 days).
Estimate the proportion of LED bulbs that are expected to burn out after getting more than 1 standard deviation greater than the mean (after 2,530 days).
Estimate the proportion of incandescent bulbs that are expected to burn out after getting more than 1 standard deviation greater than the mean (after 110 days).
Estimate the proportion of LED bulbs that are expected to burn out in the interval between 1 standard deviation less than the mean and 1 standard deviation greater than the mean (between 2,070 and 2,530 days).
Estimate the proportion of incandescent bulbs expected to burn out in the interval between 1 standard deviation less than the mean and 1 standard deviation greater than the mean (between 90 and 110 days).
Estimate the proportion of LED bulbs that are expected to burn out in the interval between 2 standard deviations less than the mean and 2 standard deviations greater than the mean (between 1,840 and 2,760 days).
Estimate the proportion of LED bulbs that are expected to burn out in the interval between 1,900 days and 2,100 days.
Estimate the proportion of incandescent bulbs that are expected to burn out in the interval between 107 and 118 days.
If students struggle to find the correct estimates, consider asking:
“Is this a question about LED or incandescent bulbs? Clearly mark each question to show if it is related to LED or incandescent bulbs.”
“Which values for the mean and standard deviation should you use for each situation? Where would you enter them into your technology?”
The goal of this discussion is for students to understand that a normal curve can be used to estimate the proportion of data that lies within a certain interval when the data is approximately normal. Ask:
Arrange students in groups of 2. Statistical technology is needed for every 2 students.
The wait times at a popular restaurant are approximately normally distributed. The mean wait time is 24.3 minutes with a standard deviation of 3.2 minutes.
Use technology to estimate the wait times for the described groups of customers.
Describe the number of minutes customers have to wait if their wait times are in the longest 10% of wait times for customers at this restaurant.
Describe the number of minutes customers have to wait if their wait times are in the shortest 15% of wait times for customers at this restaurant.
Draw an example of a normal distribution, and shade approximately the middle 50% of the area under the curve.
The shaded region is between which two values?
The purpose of this discussion is for students to make connections between the area under the normal curve and the wait times at a restaurant. Here are some questions for discussion.