This unit focuses on some important uses of randomization in statistics. Initially, students consider three types of study (experimental, observational, and survey) as ways of collecting data. In each form of study, random selection of participants and assignment into any subgroups is important for being able to generalize findings to a larger population. Students notice that an estimation of a proportion or mean of a population from sample data comes with some variability because different samples can result in different estimates. This can be expressed by including a margin of error along with any point estimates given.
Next, students examine the normal distribution as a common model for bell-shaped distributions. With technology, students can use a normal distribution model to approximate the proportion of data within certain intervals. This provides a way to quantify the confidence students should have in their estimates of population proportions or means. It also provides a way to check whether data from an experimental study has enough evidence to conclude that a difference in means between a control and treatment group is due to the treatment.
The unit concludes with an experimental study that students can do together, from study design to data collection and analysis. Then students draw a conclusion about the experiment based on their analysis.
Histogram from 16.5 to 25.5 by 0 point 5’s. Handspan, centimeters. Beginning at 16.5 up to but not including 17, height of bar at each interval is .001, .007, .013, .016, .052, .059, .087, .132, .159, .132, .104, .098, .069, .032, .023, .010, .004, .002, 0. A bell-curve line is drawn at the top of each of the bars across the graph.
Let’s use the normal distribution to estimate the proportion of data values falling within given intervals.
Estimating a Population Mean
Let’s estimate population means, using sample data.
Section A
Study Types
Section Goals
Understand the purpose of randomness in experimental studies, observational studies, and surveys.
Section Narrative
In this section, students examine three study types: experimental, observational, and survey. Students classify descriptions of studies as one of the three types and notice some aspects of study design that make them better at addressing a question of interest. One of the main aspects of good study design is the inclusion of randomness in the selection of participants in the study.
In this final section, students have the opportunity to apply their thinking from throughout the unit. As this is a short section followed by an End-of-Unit Assessment, there are no section goals or checkpoint questions.
Use a normal distribution model to estimate proportions of data within an interval.
Section Narrative
In this section, students focus on the normal distribution as a model for bell-shaped distributions. By using this model and technology (or tables of values), students can approximate the proportion of data from a distribution that is within certain intervals. This technique will be useful in later sections when students quantify expected confidence in estimates for population characteristics.
The first lesson of this section is an optional review of some statistical measures, such as mean and standard deviation, and of distribution descriptions preparing students to recognize distributions that would fit with a normal distribution model.
Histogram from 16.5 to 25.5 by 0 point 5’s. Handspan, centimeters. Beginning at 16.5 up to but not including 17, height of bar at each interval is .001, .007, .013, .016, .052, .059, .087, .132, .159, .132, .104, .098, .069, .032, .023, .010, .004, .002, 0. A bell-curve line is drawn at the top of each of the bars across the graph.